Novos partidos políticos na Guiné-Bissau: uma análise dos seus impactos na institucionalização do sistema partidário (1991-2019)

Abstract

The present study aims to analyse the impacts that the new political parties produce on the institutionalisation of the party system in Guinea-Bissau (1991-2019), using electoral volatility and electoral and parliamentary NEP as indicators. The problem is formulated as follows: what are the impacts that the new parties produce on the institutionalisation of the party system in Guinea-Bissau (1991-2019)? Documentary research was carried out in the institutions of Guinea-Bissau, the case of the National Electoral Commission (CNE), and the Popular National Assembly (ANP), as well as bibliographic (from books, articles, newspapers, theses, dissertations and journals). The text provides an average of the Effective Number of Parties, Parliamentary Number, Total Volatility, the latter being broken down into Type A Volatility - that caused by the entry of new and exit of old - and Type B Volatility - that produced by constant parties. After presenting the data, the socio-political conjunctures of the country and some data from previous studies in consolidated democracies were analysed. The results indicate that the Bissau-Guinean party system is not highly fragmented, but is demarcated by a frank institutionalization, since a system that always remains pluralist and not highly fragmented is not necessarily stable, as shown by VT. Such results make it possible to conclude that the system is not unstable, but, rather, unstable is the country's own political reality marked by assassinations, persecutions and successive falls of governments.